Nevada’s Long-Running Gaming Revenue Winning Streak Comes to an End

The Nevada Gaming Control Board (NGCB) recently released data indicating a decline in the state's gaming win for March, marking the first such decrease in eight months.

This decline, though modest at 1.7% statewide, carries significant implications for Nevada's dynamic gaming industry, which typically sees consistent growth trends. Notably, this dip was observed not only statewide but also in key regions like Clark County and the Las Vegas Strip, where revenues dropped by 1.6 percent and 1.2 percent, respectively.

The figures suggest a broader trend that could ripple through the region's tourism and hospitality sectors, both of which are heavily reliant on gaming revenue.

Comparison with Previous Year

Comparing March 2023 with March 2024 provides a crucial context for understanding the current decline.

• March 2023 was marked by significant events, including performances by major artists like Taylor Swift, large-scale conventions such as the ConExpo-Con/Ag trade show, and the excitement of NCAA basketball tournament matchups at venues like the T-Mobile Arena.

• These events likely drove heightened visitor engagement and spending, contributing to the robust gaming win observed during that period.

• In contrast, March 2024 boasted its own lineup of events, including concerts by Bruce Springsteen, Madonna and Carrie Underwood, as well as the return of NASCAR to the Las Vegas Motor Speedway.

However, it appears that these events may not have reached the same levels of visitor engagement and spending as their 2023 counterparts. This disparity in event impact could be a contributing factor to the observed decline in gaming revenue.

Financial Overview

The financial impact of these events on gaming revenue is substantial.

• In March, the state's 444 licensed major casinos collectively won $1.29 billion from gamblers.

• Within Clark County, which encompasses the Las Vegas metropolitan area, casinos generated $1.132 billion in revenue, while the iconic Las Vegas Strip contributed $715.9 million to the overall figure.

• The NGCB’s monitoring of submarkets revealed declines in 12 out of 20 regions, with downtown Las Vegas experiencing the most significant decrease at 12.9%.

Sports betting, often a significant revenue driver, also declined in March. Despite the prominence of March Madness, Nevada sportsbooks saw winnings drop by 32.1% compared to the previous year, totaling $29.8 million.

Sector Insights and Positive Indicators

Factors contributing to this decline include changes in betting behavior and outcomes, as well as shifts in consumer preferences.

• The decrease in the casino hold percentage for sports bets to 3.79% suggests that bettors were more successful in their wagers during this period.

• Total wagers placed by bettors decreased by 5.5% compared to the previous year, totaling $784.4 million, while mobile wagering dropped 4.6%, amounting to $507 million.

• Amidst the decline in certain sectors, baccarat play emerged as a bright spot, with winnings increasing by 75.5% over the previous year, totaling $114.7 million — primarily due to a higher hold percentage of 18.81%.

On the positive side, insights into gaming tax collections provided by the NGCB highlight a continued upward trend. With collections on track to exceed $1 billion for the state's general fund in the current fiscal year, the data reflects a 2.4% increase over the previous fiscal year.

This steady growth underscores the gaming industry's resilience and importance to the state's economy, providing a glimmer of hope amidst the observed decline in gaming revenue for March.